Eastern Michigan Eagles 74, Ball State Cardinals 78
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Ball State Cardinals
Ball State Cardinals defeated Eastern Michigan Eagles 78–74 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 17-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:39 swung win probability 19% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Eastern Michigan Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 14 | 25 | 18 | 17 | 74 |
| Ball State Cardinals | 22 | 19 | 23 | 14 | 78 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 17-0 home team run ending at Q3 0:39 swung win probability 19% → 97%.
Why Eastern Michigan Eagles lost
- Lost Q1 14-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q3 0:39 (win probability 19% → 97% for the home side).
- Outscored 15-4 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 13-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ball State Cardinals | 10–0 | Q1 6:10 | 62% → 90% |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 10–0 | Q2 8:03 | 87% → 52% |
| Ball State Cardinals | 17–0 | Q3 0:39 | 19% → 97% |