Merrimack Warriors 81, Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 81–68 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Women's play, a 13-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:01 swung win probability 44% → 10%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 23 | 21 | 18 | 19 | 81 |
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 17 | 16 | 16 | 19 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:01 swung win probability 44% → 10%.
Why Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers lost
- Lost Q1 17-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 8:01 (win probability 44% → 10% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 10–0 | Q2 8:01 | 44% → 10% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 8–0 | Q4 0:50 | 0% → 0% |