Merrimack Warriors 77, Marist Red Foxes 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Marist Red Foxes 77–72 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:52 swung win probability 58% → 95%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Marist Red Foxes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 12 | 15 | 14 | 20 | 16 | 77 |
| Marist Red Foxes | 17 | 18 | 8 | 18 | 11 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:52 swung win probability 58% → 95%.
Why Marist Red Foxes lost
- Lost Q3 8-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-14.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-8.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marist Red Foxes | 9–0 | Q1 0:39 | 48% → 78% |
| Marist Red Foxes | 8–0 | Q2 2:45 | 61% → 87% |
| Marist Red Foxes | 9–0 | Q4 7:52 | 58% → 95% |