Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 56, Merrimack Warriors 60
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-29 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers 60–56 on 2025-12-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:41 swung win probability 38% → 3%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 12 | 17 | 16 | 11 | 56 |
| Merrimack Warriors | 14 | 8 | 23 | 15 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q3 6:41 swung win probability 38% → 3%.
Why Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers lost
- Lost Q3 16-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Lost the turnover battle 25-21.
- Outscored 16-7 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 19-14.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 11–0 | Q3 6:41 | 38% → 3% |