Marist Red Foxes 48, Fairfield Stags 109
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-05 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Marist Red Foxes 109–48 on 2026-02-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 61-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:32 swung win probability 72% → 97%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Marist Red Foxes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marist Red Foxes | 5 | 17 | 8 | 18 | 48 |
| Fairfield Stags | 36 | 24 | 27 | 22 | 109 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:32 swung win probability 72% → 97%.
Why Marist Red Foxes lost
- Lost Q1 5-36 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at Q3 2:29 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 38.2% eFG vs a 42.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 24-11.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 10-5.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 14–0 | Q1 6:32 | 72% → 97% |
| Fairfield Stags | 15–0 | Q1 0:18 | 97% → 100% |
| Fairfield Stags | 8–0 | Q3 7:35 | 100% → 100% |
| Fairfield Stags | 18–0 | Q3 2:29 | 100% → 100% |