Marist Red Foxes 57, Merrimack Warriors 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-08 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Marist Red Foxes 59–57 on 2026-01-08 in NCAA Women's play, a 2-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 5:37 swung win probability 76% → 30%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Marist Red Foxes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marist Red Foxes | 13 | 13 | 12 | 14 | 5 | 57 |
| Merrimack Warriors | 8 | 17 | 9 | 18 | 7 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q3 5:37 swung win probability 76% → 30%.
Why Marist Red Foxes lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 4:51 (win probability 41% → 76% for the home side).
- Shot 32.0% eFG vs a 42.6% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 9–0 | Q2 4:51 | 41% → 76% |
| Marist Red Foxes | 10–0 | Q3 5:37 | 76% → 30% |