Canisius Golden Griffins 43, Fairfield Stags 72
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-01 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Canisius Golden Griffins 72–43 on 2026-01-01 in NCAA Women's play, a 29-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:42 swung win probability 62% → 90%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Canisius Golden Griffins lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canisius Golden Griffins | 6 | 8 | 15 | 14 | 43 |
| Fairfield Stags | 18 | 16 | 21 | 17 | 72 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:42 swung win probability 62% → 90%.
Why Canisius Golden Griffins lost
- Lost Q1 6-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 1:16 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 37.8% eFG vs a 43.6% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 24-14.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 10–0 | Q1 2:42 | 62% → 90% |
| Fairfield Stags | 9–0 | Q2 0:33 | 94% → 100% |
| Fairfield Stags | 11–0 | Q3 1:16 | 100% → 100% |