Niagara Purple Eagles 44, Merrimack Warriors 60
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Merrimack Warriors
Merrimack Warriors defeated Niagara Purple Eagles 60–44 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 16-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:23 swung win probability 52% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Niagara Purple Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 12 | 12 | 10 | 10 | 44 |
| Merrimack Warriors | 17 | 13 | 18 | 12 | 60 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:23 swung win probability 52% → 91%.
Why Niagara Purple Eagles lost
- Lost Q3 10-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 2:23 (win probability 52% → 91% for the home side).
- Shot 29.4% eFG vs a 36.1% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 9–0 | Q2 7:07 | 84% → 52% |
| Merrimack Warriors | 11–0 | Q2 2:23 | 52% → 91% |