Rider Broncs 52, Niagara Purple Eagles 56
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Niagara Purple Eagles
Niagara Purple Eagles defeated Rider Broncs 56–52 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:39 swung win probability 97% → 34%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Rider Broncs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rider Broncs | 13 | 12 | 15 | 12 | 52 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 17 | 18 | 8 | 13 | 56 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 1:39 swung win probability 97% → 34%.
Why Rider Broncs lost
- Lost Q2 12-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 3:26 (win probability 69% → 96% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 22-15.
- Outscored 19-9 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 11–0 | Q2 3:26 | 69% → 96% |
| Rider Broncs | 8–0 | Q4 1:39 | 97% → 34% |