Fairfield Stags 81, Niagara Purple Eagles 51
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Niagara Purple Eagles 81–51 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 30-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:35 swung win probability 57% → 21%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Niagara Purple Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 15 | 26 | 23 | 17 | 81 |
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 14 | 3 | 18 | 16 | 51 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 8:35 swung win probability 57% → 21%.
Why Niagara Purple Eagles lost
- Lost Q2 3-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q2 3:40 (win probability 27% → 1% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 22-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 9–0 | Q2 8:35 | 57% → 21% |
| Fairfield Stags | 13–0 | Q2 3:40 | 27% → 1% |