Niagara Purple Eagles 42, Fairfield Stags 98
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Niagara Purple Eagles 98–42 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 56-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:02 swung win probability 69% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Niagara Purple Eagles lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 4 | 7 | 18 | 13 | 42 |
| Fairfield Stags | 25 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 98 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 7:02 swung win probability 69% → 93%.
Why Niagara Purple Eagles lost
- Lost Q1 4-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 19-0 run ending at Q2 0:50 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 30.8% eFG vs a 36.1% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 27-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 10–0 | Q1 7:02 | 69% → 93% |
| Fairfield Stags | 11–0 | Q1 2:47 | 90% → 99% |
| Fairfield Stags | 19–0 | Q2 0:50 | 99% → 100% |
| Fairfield Stags | 9–0 | Q3 8:52 | 100% → 100% |
| Fairfield Stags | 8–0 | Q3 5:09 | 100% → 100% |
| Fairfield Stags | 9–0 | Q4 6:45 | 100% → 100% |
| Niagara Purple Eagles | 9–0 | Q4 2:51 | 100% → 100% |