Manhattan Jaspers 59, Iona Gaels 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: Iona Gaels
Iona Gaels defeated Manhattan Jaspers 65–59 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:36 swung win probability 65% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Manhattan Jaspers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manhattan Jaspers | 15 | 13 | 12 | 19 | 59 |
| Iona Gaels | 19 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 8:36 swung win probability 65% → 91%.
Why Manhattan Jaspers lost
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 8:36 (win probability 65% → 91% for the home side).
- Shot 36.3% eFG vs a 40.6% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 3 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Iona Gaels | 9–0 | Q2 8:36 | 65% → 91% |
| Manhattan Jaspers | 9–0 | Q4 7:02 | 100% → 89% |