Manhattan Jaspers 66, Marist Red Foxes 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Manhattan Jaspers
Manhattan Jaspers defeated Marist Red Foxes 66–61 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:10 swung win probability 72% → 22%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Marist Red Foxes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manhattan Jaspers | 10 | 23 | 9 | 17 | 7 | 66 |
| Marist Red Foxes | 19 | 7 | 13 | 20 | 2 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:10 swung win probability 72% → 22%.
Why Marist Red Foxes lost
- Lost Q2 7-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 1:10 (win probability 72% → 22% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 20-10.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-10.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marist Red Foxes | 8–0 | Q1 0:00 | 66% → 88% |
| Manhattan Jaspers | 9–0 | Q2 6:41 | 88% → 61% |
| Manhattan Jaspers | 12–0 | Q2 1:10 | 72% → 22% |
| Manhattan Jaspers | 9–0 | Q3 6:22 | 30% → 4% |
| Marist Red Foxes | 13–0 | Q3 0:22 | 4% → 40% |