Manhattan Jaspers 54, Fairfield Stags 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Manhattan Jaspers 76–54 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 22-point result. A 13-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:48 swung win probability 98% → 76%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Manhattan Jaspers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Manhattan Jaspers | 13 | 16 | 20 | 5 | 54 |
| Fairfield Stags | 27 | 12 | 21 | 16 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:48 swung win probability 98% → 76%.
Why Manhattan Jaspers lost
- Lost Q1 13-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q1 0:28 (win probability 78% → 98% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 18-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 12–0 | Q1 0:28 | 78% → 98% |
| Manhattan Jaspers | 13–0 | Q2 5:48 | 98% → 76% |
| Fairfield Stags | 9–0 | Q4 2:40 | 100% → 100% |