Fairfield Stags 84, Manhattan Jaspers 59
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-29 · Winner: Fairfield Stags
Fairfield Stags defeated Manhattan Jaspers 84–59 on 2025-12-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 25-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:31 swung win probability 58% → 28%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Manhattan Jaspers lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 24 | 19 | 22 | 19 | 84 |
| Manhattan Jaspers | 16 | 14 | 16 | 13 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 6:31 swung win probability 58% → 28%.
Why Manhattan Jaspers lost
- Lost Q1 16-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 9:50 (win probability 30% → 4% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 16-9.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fairfield Stags | 8–0 | Q1 6:31 | 58% → 28% |
| Fairfield Stags | 9–0 | Q3 9:50 | 30% → 4% |