Lafayette Leopards 45, Rutgers Scarlet Knights 54
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-20 · Winner: Rutgers Scarlet Knights
Rutgers Scarlet Knights defeated Lafayette Leopards 54–45 on 2025-12-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:35 swung win probability 23% → 68%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Lafayette Leopards lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lafayette Leopards | 11 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 45 |
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 4 | 18 | 14 | 18 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q2 7:35 swung win probability 23% → 68%.
Why Lafayette Leopards lost
- Lost Q2 9-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q2 7:35 (win probability 23% → 68% for the home side).
- Shot 40.0% eFG vs a 45.0% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-15.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 26-6.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 12–0 | Q2 7:35 | 23% → 68% |
| Lafayette Leopards | 8–0 | Q4 5:48 | 100% → 87% |