Troy Trojans 59, Alabama Crimson Tide 77
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: Alabama Crimson Tide
Alabama Crimson Tide defeated Troy Trojans 77–59 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 18-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 0:43 swung win probability 76% → 39%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Troy Trojans lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 20 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 59 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 23 | 9 | 21 | 24 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q2 0:43 swung win probability 76% → 39%.
Why Troy Trojans lost
- Lost Q4 12-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 1:42 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 37.9% eFG vs a 46.3% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Troy Trojans | 8–0 | Q2 0:43 | 76% → 39% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 8–0 | Q3 6:10 | 54% → 89% |
| Alabama Crimson Tide | 9–0 | Q4 1:42 | 100% → 100% |