Toledo Rockets 66, Buffalo Bulls 69
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: Buffalo Bulls
Buffalo Bulls defeated Toledo Rockets 69–66 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:04 swung win probability 34% → 68%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toledo Rockets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 14 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 66 |
| Buffalo Bulls | 10 | 22 | 20 | 17 | 69 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q2 4:04 swung win probability 34% → 68%.
Why Toledo Rockets lost
- Lost Q2 14-22 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q2 4:04 (win probability 34% → 68% for the home side).
- Outscored 19-7 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Buffalo Bulls | 8–0 | Q2 4:04 | 34% → 68% |