Central Michigan Chippewas 68, Toledo Rockets 64
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-25 · Winner: Central Michigan Chippewas
Central Michigan Chippewas defeated Toledo Rockets 68–64 on 2026-02-25 in NCAA Women's play, a 4-point result. A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:20 swung win probability 16% → 74%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toledo Rockets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan Chippewas | 18 | 18 | 12 | 20 | 68 |
| Toledo Rockets | 16 | 14 | 25 | 9 | 64 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 home team run ending at Q3 5:20 swung win probability 16% → 74%.
Why Toledo Rockets lost
- Lost Q4 9-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q2 6:56 (win probability 72% → 27% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 14-9.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Central Michigan Chippewas | 9–0 | Q1 1:18 | 84% → 53% |
| Central Michigan Chippewas | 11–0 | Q2 6:56 | 72% → 27% |
| Toledo Rockets | 12–0 | Q3 5:20 | 16% → 74% |