Toledo Rockets 74, Akron Zips 77
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-04 · Winner: Akron Zips
Akron Zips defeated Toledo Rockets 77–74 on 2026-02-04 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 11-0 road team run ending at Q4 5:37 swung win probability 98% → 36%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toledo Rockets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 16 | 19 | 15 | 24 | 74 |
| Akron Zips | 16 | 19 | 21 | 21 | 77 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 road team run ending at Q4 5:37 swung win probability 98% → 36%.
Why Toledo Rockets lost
- Lost Q3 15-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q3 2:59 (win probability 46% → 90% for the home side).
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Akron Zips | 9–0 | Q3 2:59 | 46% → 90% |
| Toledo Rockets | 11–0 | Q4 5:37 | 98% → 36% |