Kent State Golden Flashes 53, Toledo Rockets 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-28 · Winner: Toledo Rockets
Toledo Rockets defeated Kent State Golden Flashes 59–53 on 2026-01-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:10 swung win probability 20% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Kent State Golden Flashes lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State Golden Flashes | 11 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 53 |
| Toledo Rockets | 9 | 11 | 21 | 18 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q4 1:10 swung win probability 20% → 100%.
Why Kent State Golden Flashes lost
- Lost Q3 13-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q4 1:10 (win probability 20% → 100% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 16-6.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kent State Golden Flashes | 9–0 | Q2 2:29 | 64% → 23% |
| Kent State Golden Flashes | 9–0 | Q4 7:31 | 75% → 13% |
| Toledo Rockets | 8–0 | Q4 1:10 | 20% → 100% |