Toledo Rockets 71, Eastern Michigan Eagles 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-20 · Winner: Eastern Michigan Eagles
Eastern Michigan Eagles defeated Toledo Rockets 76–71 on 2026-01-20 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:52 swung win probability 33% → 78%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toledo Rockets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 15 | 19 | 22 | 15 | 71 |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 13 | 17 | 20 | 26 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q1 2:52 swung win probability 33% → 78%.
Why Toledo Rockets lost
- Lost Q4 15-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q1 2:52 (win probability 33% → 78% for the home side).
- Outscored 16-6 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 1 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 13–0 | Q1 2:52 | 33% → 78% |
| Eastern Michigan Eagles | 8–0 | Q4 8:44 | 10% → 56% |