Northern Illinois Huskies 49, Toledo Rockets 70
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-14 · Winner: Toledo Rockets
Toledo Rockets defeated Northern Illinois Huskies 70–49 on 2026-01-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:17 swung win probability 83% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Northern Illinois Huskies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northern Illinois Huskies | 12 | 10 | 7 | 20 | 49 |
| Toledo Rockets | 18 | 17 | 12 | 23 | 70 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:17 swung win probability 83% → 98%.
Why Northern Illinois Huskies lost
- Lost Q2 10-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 17-0 run ending at Q4 3:28 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 21-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 9–0 | Q2 2:17 | 83% → 98% |
| Toledo Rockets | 17–0 | Q4 3:28 | 100% → 100% |
| Northern Illinois Huskies | 9–0 | Q4 1:14 | 100% → 100% |