Toledo Rockets 64, Long Beach State Beach 43
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-22 · Winner: Toledo Rockets
Toledo Rockets defeated Long Beach State Beach 64–43 on 2025-12-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 21-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:21 swung win probability 69% → 24%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Long Beach State Beach lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 12 | 14 | 19 | 19 | 64 |
| Long Beach State Beach | 14 | 6 | 6 | 17 | 43 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:21 swung win probability 69% → 24%.
Why Long Beach State Beach lost
- Lost Q3 6-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q3 4:27 (win probability 26% → 1% for the home side).
- Shot 30.9% eFG vs a 41.4% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 10–0 | Q2 3:21 | 69% → 24% |
| Toledo Rockets | 11–0 | Q3 4:27 | 26% → 1% |