Toledo Rockets 52, Bowling Green Falcons 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-21 · Winner: Bowling Green Falcons
Bowling Green Falcons defeated Toledo Rockets 61–52 on 2026-02-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 14-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:52 swung win probability 65% → 98%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Toledo Rockets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toledo Rockets | 18 | 11 | 6 | 17 | 52 |
| Bowling Green Falcons | 20 | 16 | 14 | 11 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 home team run ending at Q2 2:52 swung win probability 65% → 98%.
Why Toledo Rockets lost
- Lost Q3 6-14 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 2:52 (win probability 65% → 98% for the home side).
- Shot 41.8% eFG vs a 46.9% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 21-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bowling Green Falcons | 14–0 | Q2 2:52 | 65% → 98% |
| Toledo Rockets | 8–0 | Q2 0:07 | 98% → 87% |