Cal Poly Mustangs 66, Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 54
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: Cal Poly Mustangs
Cal Poly Mustangs defeated Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 66–54 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 4:27 swung win probability 52% → 15%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 13 | 20 | 19 | 14 | 66 |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 10 | 8 | 18 | 18 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 4:27 swung win probability 52% → 15%.
Why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost
- Lost Q2 8-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 4:27 (win probability 52% → 15% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 9–0 | Q2 4:27 | 52% → 15% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 8–0 | Q4 0:36 | 0% → 0% |