UC Irvine Anteaters 70, UC Davis Aggies 58
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-07 · Winner: UC Irvine Anteaters
UC Irvine Anteaters defeated UC Davis Aggies 70–58 on 2026-03-07 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:59 swung win probability 81% → 53%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Davis Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 19 | 21 | 20 | 10 | 70 |
| UC Davis Aggies | 20 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 58 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:59 swung win probability 81% → 53%.
Why UC Davis Aggies lost
- Lost Q2 11-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 5:11 (win probability 24% → 1% for the home side).
- Shot 42.2% eFG vs a 48.5% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 8–0 | Q1 4:27 | 58% → 84% |
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 8–0 | Q1 0:59 | 81% → 53% |
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 10–0 | Q3 5:11 | 24% → 1% |