Long Beach State Beach 56, UC Davis Aggies 59
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: UC Davis Aggies
UC Davis Aggies defeated Long Beach State Beach 59–56 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:15 swung win probability 90% → 59%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Long Beach State Beach lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach State Beach | 13 | 16 | 18 | 9 | 56 |
| UC Davis Aggies | 18 | 14 | 11 | 16 | 59 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 1:15 swung win probability 90% → 59%.
Why Long Beach State Beach lost
- Lost Q4 9-16 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q2 7:35 (win probability 61% → 91% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 17-12.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 10–0 | Q2 7:35 | 61% → 91% |
| Long Beach State Beach | 9–0 | Q2 1:15 | 90% → 59% |