Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 47, Cal State Northridge Matadors 82
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: Cal State Northridge Matadors
Cal State Northridge Matadors defeated Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 82–47 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 35-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:11 swung win probability 62% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 9 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 47 |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 19 | 20 | 25 | 18 | 82 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:11 swung win probability 62% → 86%.
Why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost
- Lost Q3 9-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 7:04 (win probability 98% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 25.4% eFG vs a 39.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 8–0 | Q1 6:11 | 62% → 86% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 8–0 | Q2 9:42 | 79% → 95% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 10–0 | Q3 7:04 | 98% → 100% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 8–0 | Q3 3:15 | 100% → 100% |