UC Irvine Anteaters 85, Cal Poly Mustangs 65
NCAA Women's · 2026-03-05 · Winner: UC Irvine Anteaters
UC Irvine Anteaters defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 85–65 on 2026-03-05 in NCAA Women's play, a 20-point result. A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:45 swung win probability 46% → 12%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 19 | 23 | 27 | 16 | 85 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 6 | 20 | 25 | 14 | 65 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 road team run ending at Q1 0:45 swung win probability 46% → 12%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Lost Q1 6-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 0:45 (win probability 46% → 12% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 15-9.
- Outscored 35-14 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 10–0 | Q1 0:45 | 46% → 12% |