UC San Diego Tritons 85, Cal Poly Mustangs 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-28 · Winner: UC San Diego Tritons
UC San Diego Tritons defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 85–61 on 2026-02-28 in NCAA Women's play, a 24-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 5:34 swung win probability 0% → 0%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 18 | 27 | 19 | 21 | 85 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 11 | 15 | 17 | 18 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q4 5:34 swung win probability 0% → 0%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Lost Q2 15-27 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q4 5:34 (win probability 0% → 0% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 20-6.
- Outscored 15-4 at the free-throw line.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 11-4.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 9–0 | Q4 5:34 | 0% → 0% |