Cal Poly Mustangs 57, Long Beach State Beach 67
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: Long Beach State Beach
Long Beach State Beach defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 67–57 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 13-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:05 swung win probability 20% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 10 | 18 | 21 | 8 | 57 |
| Long Beach State Beach | 15 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 67 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 13-0 home team run ending at Q4 0:05 swung win probability 20% → 100%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Lost Q4 8-26 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q4 0:05 (win probability 20% → 100% for the home side).
- Game was within 5 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 10–0 | Q2 5:28 | 84% → 46% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 8–0 | Q2 0:55 | 60% → 22% |
| Long Beach State Beach | 13–0 | Q4 0:05 | 20% → 100% |