UC San Diego Tritons 85, Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 79
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-26 · Winner: UC San Diego Tritons
UC San Diego Tritons defeated Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 85–79 on 2026-02-26 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:35 swung win probability 58% → 4%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 25 | 14 | 24 | 22 | 85 |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 10 | 20 | 25 | 24 | 79 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:35 swung win probability 58% → 4%.
Why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost
- Lost Q1 10-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q3 2:35 (win probability 58% → 4% for the home side).
- Outscored 27-13 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 8–0 | Q1 0:10 | 34% → 10% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 10–0 | Q2 4:56 | 5% → 29% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 12–0 | Q3 2:35 | 58% → 4% |