Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine 71, Cal Poly Mustangs 54
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-19 · Winner: Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 71–54 on 2026-02-19 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 20-0 road team run ending at Q2 7:24 swung win probability 84% → 12%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 19 | 14 | 21 | 17 | 71 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 14 | 10 | 15 | 15 | 54 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 20-0 road team run ending at Q2 7:24 swung win probability 84% → 12%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Lost Q3 15-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 20-0 run ending at Q2 7:24 (win probability 84% → 12% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 20-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 20–0 | Q2 7:24 | 84% → 12% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 8–0 | Q2 0:01 | 4% → 17% |
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 13–0 | Q4 5:24 | 0% → 0% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 10–0 | Q4 1:01 | 0% → 0% |