Cal Poly Mustangs 54, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 63
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-14 · Winner: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 63–54 on 2026-02-14 in NCAA Women's play, a 9-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:21 swung win probability 51% → 86%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 10 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 54 |
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 15 | 21 | 9 | 18 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q1 3:21 swung win probability 51% → 86%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Lost Q2 12-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q1 3:21 (win probability 51% → 86% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 11–0 | Q1 3:21 | 51% → 86% |
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 10–0 | Q3 9:46 | 84% → 99% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 8–0 | Q3 5:24 | 99% → 92% |