UC San Diego Tritons 80, UC Davis Aggies 88
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: UC Davis Aggies
UC Davis Aggies defeated UC San Diego Tritons 88–80 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 0:04 swung win probability 22% → 70%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC San Diego Tritons lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | OT | OT2 | OT3 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 13 | 18 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 80 |
| UC Davis Aggies | 14 | 11 | 20 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 88 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 home team run ending at OT 0:04 swung win probability 22% → 70%.
Why UC San Diego Tritons lost
- Lost Q7 5-13 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 5:22 (win probability 25% → 68% for the home side).
- Beaten on the offensive glass 17-7.
- Game was within 0 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 9–0 | Q1 0:38 | 44% → 72% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 8–0 | Q3 9:35 | 62% → 31% |
| UC Davis Aggies | 10–0 | Q4 5:22 | 25% → 68% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 8–0 | OT 3:06 | 69% → 22% |
| UC Davis Aggies | 8–0 | OT 0:04 | 22% → 70% |
| UC Davis Aggies | 8–0 | OT3 0:09 | 52% → 100% |