Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 54, Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine 61
NCAA Women's · 2026-02-12 · Winner: Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine defeated Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 61–54 on 2026-02-12 in NCAA Women's play, a 7-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:26 swung win probability 15% → 89%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 15 | 15 | 18 | 6 | 54 |
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 8 | 18 | 18 | 17 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:26 swung win probability 15% → 89%.
Why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost
- Lost Q4 6-17 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 4:26 (win probability 15% → 89% for the home side).
- Outscored 25-14 at the free-throw line.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 8–0 | Q3 4:56 | 41% → 83% |
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 10–0 | Q4 4:26 | 15% → 89% |