Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 68, UC Davis Aggies 76
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-31 · Winner: UC Davis Aggies
UC Davis Aggies defeated Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 76–68 on 2026-01-31 in NCAA Women's play, a 8-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:24 swung win probability 94% → 100%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 15 | 12 | 19 | 22 | 68 |
| UC Davis Aggies | 21 | 18 | 17 | 20 | 76 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 7:24 swung win probability 94% → 100%.
Why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost
- Lost Q1 15-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q4 7:24 (win probability 94% → 100% for the home side).
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 10–0 | Q4 7:24 | 94% → 100% |