Cal State Northridge Matadors 51, UC Davis Aggies 68
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: UC Davis Aggies
UC Davis Aggies defeated Cal State Northridge Matadors 68–51 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 17-point result. A 16-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:43 swung win probability 44% → 92%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 12 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 51 |
| UC Davis Aggies | 20 | 18 | 14 | 16 | 68 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 16-0 home team run ending at Q1 1:43 swung win probability 44% → 92%.
Why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost
- Lost Q2 6-18 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 16-0 run ending at Q1 1:43 (win probability 44% → 92% for the home side).
- Shot 34.9% eFG vs a 45.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 17-12.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 16–0 | Q1 1:43 | 44% → 92% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 12–0 | Q4 0:35 | 100% → 100% |