UC San Diego Tritons 52, UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 49
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-29 · Winner: UC San Diego Tritons
UC San Diego Tritons defeated UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 52–49 on 2026-01-29 in NCAA Women's play, a 3-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:16 swung win probability 28% → 94%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Santa Barbara Gauchos lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 13 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 52 |
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 12 | 16 | 6 | 15 | 49 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q4 6:16 swung win probability 28% → 94%.
Why UC Santa Barbara Gauchos lost
- Lost Q3 6-12 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q3 7:57 (win probability 86% → 42% for the home side).
- Shot 39.3% eFG vs a 49.8% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 4 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 8–0 | Q2 6:03 | 60% → 88% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 10–0 | Q3 7:57 | 86% → 42% |
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 10–0 | Q4 6:16 | 28% → 94% |