Cal Poly Mustangs 41, Cal State Fullerton Titans 73
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-24 · Winner: Cal State Fullerton Titans
Cal State Fullerton Titans defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 73–41 on 2026-01-24 in NCAA Women's play, a 32-point result. A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:02 swung win probability 69% → 93%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 6 | 3 | 16 | 16 | 41 |
| Cal State Fullerton Titans | 23 | 21 | 14 | 15 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 10-0 home team run ending at Q1 6:02 swung win probability 69% → 93%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Lost Q2 3-21 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 18-0 run ending at Q3 9:16 (win probability 99% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 28.6% eFG vs a 41.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 26-20.
- Beaten on the offensive glass 21-8.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Fullerton Titans | 10–0 | Q1 6:02 | 69% → 93% |
| Cal State Fullerton Titans | 10–0 | Q2 8:38 | 94% → 100% |
| Cal State Fullerton Titans | 18–0 | Q3 9:16 | 99% → 100% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 10–0 | Q3 1:15 | 100% → 100% |