UC Santa Barbara Gauchos 61, Cal Poly Mustangs 51
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: UC Santa Barbara Gauchos
UC Santa Barbara Gauchos defeated Cal Poly Mustangs 61–51 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 10-point result. A 14-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:38 swung win probability 76% → 19%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal Poly Mustangs lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 15 | 23 | 11 | 12 | 61 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 16 | 6 | 15 | 14 | 51 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 14-0 road team run ending at Q2 5:38 swung win probability 76% → 19%.
Why Cal Poly Mustangs lost
- Lost Q2 6-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 14-0 run ending at Q2 5:38 (win probability 76% → 19% for the home side).
- Shot 36.8% eFG vs a 41.7% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 18-13.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 14–0 | Q2 5:38 | 76% → 19% |
| UC Santa Barbara Gauchos | 10–0 | Q2 2:37 | 28% → 3% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 10–0 | Q3 3:35 | 0% → 3% |