Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine 64, Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 52
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-22 · Winner: Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine
Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine defeated Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 64–52 on 2026-01-22 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:12 swung win probability 68% → 28%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 10 | 19 | 25 | 10 | 64 |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 7 | 15 | 14 | 16 | 52 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 road team run ending at Q2 3:12 swung win probability 68% → 28%.
Why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost
- Lost Q3 14-25 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 13-0 run ending at Q3 5:21 (win probability 26% → 0% for the home side).
- Shot 30.2% eFG vs a 39.7% season average - a cold night.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 10–0 | Q1 3:21 | 72% → 34% |
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 9–0 | Q2 3:12 | 68% → 28% |
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 13–0 | Q3 5:21 | 26% → 0% |
| Hawai'i Rainbow Wahine | 9–0 | Q3 3:11 | 1% → 0% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 14–0 | Q4 9:06 | 0% → 1% |
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 8–0 | Q4 1:56 | 0% → 0% |