Cal State Northridge Matadors 61, Long Beach State Beach 62
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: Long Beach State Beach
Long Beach State Beach defeated Cal State Northridge Matadors 62–61 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 1-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:15 swung win probability 95% → 54%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 15 | 11 | 17 | 18 | 61 |
| Long Beach State Beach | 23 | 14 | 13 | 12 | 62 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q4 4:15 swung win probability 95% → 54%.
Why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost
- Lost Q1 15-23 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 10-0 run ending at Q1 5:27 (win probability 44% → 78% for the home side).
- Shot 35.8% eFG vs a 45.5% season average - a cold night.
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach State Beach | 10–0 | Q1 5:27 | 44% → 78% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 13–0 | Q3 3:10 | 98% → 57% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 8–0 | Q4 4:15 | 95% → 54% |