Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 66, UC San Diego Tritons 84
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: UC San Diego Tritons
UC San Diego Tritons defeated Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners 84–66 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 18-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 3:14 swung win probability 96% → 74%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 14 | 12 | 24 | 16 | 66 |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 18 | 20 | 22 | 24 | 84 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q3 3:14 swung win probability 96% → 74%.
Why Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost
- Lost Q2 12-20 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 12-0 run ending at Q4 8:38 (win probability 80% → 100% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 23-14.
- Outscored 16-6 at the free-throw line.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners | 8–0 | Q3 3:14 | 96% → 74% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 12–0 | Q4 8:38 | 80% → 100% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 10–0 | Q4 5:49 | 100% → 100% |