UC Davis Aggies 42, UC Irvine Anteaters 73
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-17 · Winner: UC Irvine Anteaters
UC Irvine Anteaters defeated UC Davis Aggies 73–42 on 2026-01-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 31-point result. A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:25 swung win probability 90% → 53%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why UC Davis Aggies lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 12 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 42 |
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 20 | 18 | 16 | 19 | 73 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 12-0 road team run ending at Q1 2:25 swung win probability 90% → 53%.
Why UC Davis Aggies lost
- Lost Q4 8-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 8:03 (win probability 100% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 23.1% eFG vs a 48.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 20-10.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC Davis Aggies | 12–0 | Q1 2:25 | 90% → 53% |
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 10–0 | Q1 0:05 | 53% → 87% |
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 9–0 | Q2 5:59 | 82% → 98% |
| UC Irvine Anteaters | 11–0 | Q4 8:03 | 100% → 100% |