UC San Diego Tritons 60, Cal State Northridge Matadors 48
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-15 · Winner: UC San Diego Tritons
UC San Diego Tritons defeated Cal State Northridge Matadors 60–48 on 2026-01-15 in NCAA Women's play, a 12-point result. A 15-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:52 swung win probability 73% → 4%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 14 | 6 | 19 | 21 | 60 |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 5 | 18 | 8 | 17 | 48 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 15-0 road team run ending at Q3 2:52 swung win probability 73% → 4%.
Why Cal State Northridge Matadors lost
- Lost Q3 8-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 15-0 run ending at Q3 2:52 (win probability 73% → 4% for the home side).
- Shot 37.5% eFG vs a 45.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 28-22.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| UC San Diego Tritons | 9–0 | Q1 1:50 | 59% → 23% |
| Cal State Northridge Matadors | 10–0 | Q2 7:17 | 22% → 60% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 15–0 | Q3 2:52 | 73% → 4% |
| UC San Diego Tritons | 8–0 | Q4 0:42 | 2% → 0% |