Long Beach State Beach 49, Cal Poly Mustangs 63
NCAA Women's · 2026-01-03 · Winner: Cal Poly Mustangs
Cal Poly Mustangs defeated Long Beach State Beach 63–49 on 2026-01-03 in NCAA Women's play, a 14-point result. A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:36 swung win probability 66% → 91%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Long Beach State Beach lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Long Beach State Beach | 4 | 14 | 18 | 13 | 49 |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 12 | 14 | 16 | 21 | 63 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 9-0 home team run ending at Q2 9:36 swung win probability 66% → 91%.
Why Long Beach State Beach lost
- Lost Q1 4-12 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 9-0 run ending at Q2 9:36 (win probability 66% → 91% for the home side).
- Lost the turnover battle 18-11.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 9–0 | Q2 9:36 | 66% → 91% |
| Cal Poly Mustangs | 8–0 | Q2 0:27 | 72% → 95% |