Sacramento State Hornets 56, San José State Spartans 61
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-21 · Winner: San José State Spartans
San José State Spartans defeated Sacramento State Hornets 61–56 on 2025-12-21 in NCAA Women's play, a 5-point result. A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:19 swung win probability 21% → 96%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 14 | 10 | 22 | 10 | 56 |
| San José State Spartans | 24 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 11-0 home team run ending at Q4 4:19 swung win probability 21% → 96%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost Q1 14-24 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 11-0 run ending at Q4 4:19 (win probability 21% → 96% for the home side).
- Game was within 2 with 5:00 left - lost the closing stretch.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| San José State Spartans | 9–0 | Q1 4:47 | 55% → 84% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 10–0 | Q3 7:53 | 95% → 64% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 11–0 | Q4 8:51 | 89% → 21% |
| San José State Spartans | 11–0 | Q4 4:19 | 21% → 96% |