Sacramento State Hornets 55, San Francisco Dons 61
NCAA Women's · 2025-12-17 · Winner: San Francisco Dons
San Francisco Dons defeated Sacramento State Hornets 61–55 on 2025-12-17 in NCAA Women's play, a 6-point result. A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 4:17 swung win probability 84% → 58%. Below is the quarter-by-quarter linescore, a win-probability timeline, and an automated breakdown of why Sacramento State Hornets lost.
Linescore
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 13 | 10 | 16 | 16 | 55 |
| San Francisco Dons | 16 | 19 | 15 | 11 | 61 |
Win probability
Turning point — A 8-0 road team run ending at Q1 4:17 swung win probability 84% → 58%.
Why Sacramento State Hornets lost
- Lost Q2 10-19 - the worst stretch of the game.
- Gave up a 8-0 run ending at Q3 5:06 (win probability 96% → 100% for the home side).
- Shot 41.3% eFG vs a 46.5% season average - a cold night.
- Lost the turnover battle 28-15.
Scoring runs
| Team | Run | Ends | Win-prob swing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets | 8–0 | Q1 4:17 | 84% → 58% |
| San Francisco Dons | 8–0 | Q3 5:06 | 96% → 100% |
| Sacramento State Hornets | 11–0 | Q4 3:22 | 100% → 96% |